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Re: st: Predicted probabilities


From   Jeph Herrin <[email protected]>
To   [email protected]
Subject   Re: st: Predicted probabilities
Date   Sun, 10 Dec 2006 21:10:45 -0500

Claude Francoeur wrote:
Hello Richard,

I am trying to generate a prediction-classification table. It shows how the model predicts the binary dependent correctly. The cut-off value is usually 50%. For example, EViews produces the following table :

I think Richard is correct, you will need to make your own. But rather than
assume a cutpoint of 0.5, a better way to assess classification is with
a C-statistic (area under the ROC)

 xtprobit pw boardcomp compensation shrights disclosure tech mv endet cot
       volat march conc, pa i( i)
 predict predPW, mu
 gen PW=round(predPW,0.01)         /* create 100 categories */
 roctab pw PW

This will indicate how well your model classifies the outcome independent
of any assumption about the cutpoint.

hth,
Jeph

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