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RE: st: growth rates


From   "Bornmann, Lutz" <[email protected]>
To   "[email protected]" <[email protected]>
Subject   RE: st: growth rates
Date   Fri, 7 Mar 2014 14:02:36 +0000

Thanks, Marten for this first solution.

Nick, I am looking for advice on how to measure growth. Martens solution standardizes the annual changes in publication numbers. Are there other options and how can I get an overall growth value with which I can compare several countries?

Lutz

>-----Original Message-----
>From: [email protected] [mailto:owner-
>[email protected]] On Behalf Of Nick Cox
>Sent: Friday, March 07, 2014 2:24 PM
>To: [email protected]
>Subject: Re: st: growth rates
>
>I don't get this. Do you have a definition of growth rate and want
>Stata code for this or do you want advice on how to measure it?
>
>For example, if something can ever be zero or negative, then even
>
>change in value / previous value
>
>can not be a good idea, because growing from -1 to 0 gives growth rate
>of -1 and growing from 0 to 1 gives an indeterminate value.
>
>so even that is not a universal.
>Nick
>[email protected]
>
>
>On 7 March 2014 13:12, Bornmann, Lutz <[email protected]> wrote:
>> Hi,
>>
>> I do have annual publication numbers for several countries:
>>
>> ITEM_PY us'     ch'
>> 1990    3759    119
>> 1991    3738    149
>> 1992    3757    149
>> 1993    3810    169
>> 1994    3920    199
>> 1995    4134    171
>> 1996    4404    211
>> 1997    4436    236
>> 1998    4513    246
>> 1999    4542    238
>> 2000    4456    275
>> 2001    4519    263
>> 2002    4602    259
>> 2003    4705    276
>> 2004    4836    310
>> 2005    4834    337
>> 2006    5150    344
>> 2007    5253    433
>> 2008    5568    466
>> 2009    5520    475
>> 2010    5690    534
>>
>> I would like to calculate growth rates. What is the best (and simplest)
>statistical procedure to do that?
>>
>> Thank you,
>>
>> Lutz
>>
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