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st: Problems when estimating GARCH(1,1) in STATA
From
Pawel Smietanka <[email protected]>
To
"[email protected]" <[email protected]>
Subject
st: Problems when estimating GARCH(1,1) in STATA
Date
Fri, 2 Aug 2013 16:29:36 +0100
Hi,
I estimate a simple GARCH(1,1) model in STATA with two lags in the main equation. Here are my results:
. arch grr L.grr L2.grr, arch(1) garch(1)
(setting optimization to BHHH)
Iteration 0: log likelihood = -251.345
Iteration 1: log likelihood = -249.86249
Iteration 2: log likelihood = -248.02976
Iteration 3: log likelihood = -244.96328
Iteration 4: log likelihood = -243.46113
(switching optimization to BFGS)
Iteration 5: log likelihood = -243.1621
Iteration 6: log likelihood = -242.87726
Iteration 7: log likelihood = -242.75897
Iteration 8: log likelihood = -242.74415
Iteration 9: log likelihood = -242.72715
Iteration 10: log likelihood = -242.72279
Iteration 11: log likelihood = -242.721
Iteration 12: log likelihood = -242.72072
Iteration 13: log likelihood = -242.72072
ARCH family regression
Sample: 3 - 169 Number of obs = 167
Distribution: Gaussian Wald chi2(2) = 7.45
Log likelihood = -242.7207 Prob > chi2 = 0.0241
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| OPG
grr | Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
grr |
grr |
L1. | .096067 .0706532 1.36 0.174 -.0424107 .2345448
L2. | .2064248 .0846426 2.44 0.015 .0405284 .3723211
|
_cons | .5485593 .0975064 5.63 0.000 .3574502 .7396684
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
ARCH |
arch |
L1. | .0695062 .0191442 3.63 0.000 .0319843 .107028
|
garch |
L1. | .9419905 .0168409 55.93 0.000 .9089829 .9749982
|
_cons | -.0169108 .0067299 -2.51 0.012 -.0301011 -.0037205
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Here are the results if I estimate the same model with EViews:
Dependent Variable: GRR
Method: ML - ARCH (BHHH) - Normal distribution
Date: 08/02/13 Time: 15:59
Sample (adjusted): 1955Q4 1997Q2
Included observations: 167 after adjustments
Convergence achieved after 21 iterations
Presample variance: backcast (parameter = 0.7)
GARCH = C(4) + C(5)*RESID(-1)^2 + C(6)*GARCH(-1)
Variable Coefficient Std. Error z-Statistic Prob.
C 0.7337004912934016 0.1096705613724465 6.690040445783071 2.231089246054068e-11
GRR(-1) -0.02404062885934711 0.0966189012756239 -0.2488191082898637 0.8035007095852133
GRR(-2) 0.05643336253467177 0.0821454687954468 0.6869930059708879 0.4920871358180699
Variance Equation
C 0.2488161343870002 0.1361285274433679 1.827803026007994 0.06757911892732735
RESID(-1)^2 0.3116928064545641 0.1281005882690402 2.433187939776972 0.01496653021627075
GARCH(-1) 0.531066612689561 0.180428222951572 2.943367750355234 0.003246625031072093
R-squared 0.005976020314715446 Mean dependent var 0.6752610952095809
Adjusted R-squared -0.006146223339983159 S.D. dependent var 1.102947684190452
S.E. of regression 1.106331973406644 Akaike info criterion 3.017883281072389
Sum squared resid 200.7311514026217 Schwarz criterion 3.129907010859818
Log likelihood -245.9932539695445 Hannan-Quinn criter. 3.063351247210276
Durbin-Watson stat 2.04819433712679
As seen from the tables, the values of the coefficients are very different. Do happen to know what may be the reason for such great differences in values?
Kind regards,
Pawel Smietanka
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