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st: Evaluating Portfolio Performance


From   Sheldon Marker <[email protected]>
To   [email protected]
Subject   st: Evaluating Portfolio Performance
Date   Thu, 17 Feb 2011 17:02:46 +0000 (GMT)

Hi,

I would like to evaluate the performance of different portfolio compositions in 
my panel dataset.

Basically two portfolios should be tested, the one with the top 25% returns in 
the data and the one with the bottom 25% returns. Assuming (e.g.) a one-week 
holding period I cumulated the returns for each date and generated a dummy to 
assign the values to the portfolios:

* get cumulated return for 1 week = 5 days
g adj_return_1w = adj_return + l.adj_return + l2.adj_return + l3.adj_return + 
l4.adj_return

* dummy winner portfolio
g winner_1w = 0 

* dummy looser portfoliog looser_1w = 0 

* create winner portfolioby date, sort: egen winner_1w_pctile = 
pctile(adj_return_1w), p(75) replace winner_1w = 1 if adj_return_1w >= 
winner_1w_pctile replace winner_1w = 1 if f.adj_return_1w >= f.winner_1w_pctile 
replace winner_1w = 1 if f2.adj_return_1w >= f2.winner_1w_pctile
replace winner_1w = 1 if f3.adj_return_1w >= f3.winner_1w_pctile replace 
winner_1w = 1 if f4.adj_return_1w >= f4.winner_1w_pctile 


* create looser portfolioby date, sort: egen looser_1w_pctile = 
pctile(adj_return_1w), p(25) replace looser_1w = 1 if adj_return_1w <= 
looser_1w_pctile replace looser_1w = 1 if f.adj_return_1w <= f.looser_1w_pctile 
replace looser_1w = 1 if f2.adj_return_1w <= f2.looser_1w_pctile replace 
looser_1w = 1 if f3.adj_return_1w <= f3.looser_1w_pctile replace looser_1w = 1 
if f4.adj_return_1w <= f4.looser_1w_pctile


Now I want to use the rolling window technique to evaluate the performance with 
the CAPM

rollreg adj_return adj_rm if winner_1w == 1, robust move(5) stub(w1_winner)
rollreg adj_return adj_rm if looser_1w == 1, robust move(5) stub(w1_looser)

[Problem]:

rollreg tries to regress each timeseries in my panel dataset separately. But 
this doesn't work of course since the portfolio restriction produces huge gaps 
in all timeseries.

Can somebody perhaps tell me how to deal with this problem, so that rollreg (or 
any other command that does the trick) uses all observations within the give 
timeframe that are indicated by the dummy and moves on?

Help will be greatly appreciated, thank you so much!



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