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st: RE: Predict Values, Residual Values, Actual Values: How they related to Change(Differentiated) values


From   "Demetriou, Eleftherios" <[email protected]>
To   <[email protected]>
Subject   st: RE: Predict Values, Residual Values, Actual Values: How they related to Change(Differentiated) values
Date   Thu, 3 Sep 2009 10:50:22 -0400

Hi to all,


(Another attempt because the values were not aligned. Hope it works )

Your help would much appreciated.

Time        Residuals    Actual      Predicted        Change 

2008m12	0.0471286	15.56406	15.6111886
0.0390626

2009m1	-0.0846512	15.44607	15.3614188
-0.0333374

2009m2	0.2174468	15.62338	15.8408268
-0.0401406

2009m3	-0.0912807	15.67231	15.5810293
0.1402137

2009m4	0.0002243	15.67153	15.6717543
-0.0010054

2009m5	-0.0055107	15.65919	15.6536793
-0.0068251

2009m6	-0.0156231	15.70709	15.6914669
0.0635176

2009m7	0.0298343	15.6491	15.6789343		0.0169236

2009m8	-0.0298517	15.70702	15.6771683
0.0566317

2009m9	0.0243455				            -0.0575622

2009m10	-0.014906				            0.0840143

2009m11	-0.0625918				            -0.0073008

2009m12	0.0526835				            0.0390626

2010m1	0.0269902
-0.0333374

2010m2	0.0243964
-0.0401406

2010m3	-0.0038307
0.1402137

2010m4	-0.03499
-0.0010054

2010m5	0.0308822
-0.0068251

2010m6	-0.0428043
0.0635176

2010m7	0.0381132
0.0169236

2010m8	-0.0323732
0.0566317

2010m9	0.0251135
-0.0575622

2010m10	-0.0151399
0.0840143

2010m11	-0.0625206
-0.0073008

2010m12
0.0390626

All values in logarithmic form

We know that Residuals=Actual - Predicted

What is the relationship with the three (Residuals, Actual, Predicted)
with the last column (Change)?

The reason being to be able to fill the values from 2009m9 till 2010m12
for "Predicted" column

Thank you

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