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Re: st: RE: Results of overidentification and underidentification test missing


From   Sutirtha Bagchi <[email protected]>
To   [email protected]
Subject   Re: st: RE: Results of overidentification and underidentification test missing
Date   Sun, 22 Sep 2013 17:19:23 -0400

Hello Mark,

Thanks for responding. This is what I have:

xtivreg2: xtivreg2 1.0.13 28Aug2011

ranktest: ranktest 1.1.02  15oct2007

Thanks,
Sutirtha

On Sun, Sep 22, 2013 at 1:55 PM, Schaffer, Mark E <[email protected]> wrote:
> Sutirtha,
>
> Can you also tell us what versions of ivreg2 and ranktest you have installed?  xtivreg2 uses these programs.
>
> --Mark
>
>> -----Original Message-----
>> From: [email protected] [mailto:owner-
>> [email protected]] On Behalf Of Sutirtha Bagchi
>> Sent: 21 September 2013 22:56
>> To: [email protected]
>> Subject: st: Results of overidentification and underidentification test missing
>>
>> Hello,
>>
>> I am using the user-written command -xtivreg2- in Stata11 (Stata/SE
>> 11.2 for Windows (32-bit)).
>>
>> (*! xtivreg2 1.0.13 28Aug2011 *! author mes)
>>
>> The issue I am facing is that in the Stata output, I find the results of the Under
>> identification and Weak Identification test missing. In particular, the
>> Kleibergen-Paap rk LM statistic and associated p-value and the Kleibergen-Paap
>> rk Wald F statistic are missing. Other test statistics such as the Hansen J
>> statistic for overidentification and the Shea partial R2 are present in the output.
>> I can verify that I have updated Stata and so that alone is unlikely to fix this
>> issue for me.
>>
>>  Here are details of my data set on municipal pension plans where this comes
>> up.
>>
>> I have one observation per pension plan per municipality per time period
>> (decade). For simplicity, let us say, I have 2 pension plans per municipality for ~
>> 1,000 municipalities for 3 decades - a total of
>> 2 X 1,000 X 3 or ~ 6,000 observations. I am looking at the effect of political
>> orientation of the municipality (more specifically, the independent variable is
>> average Democratic vote share in mayoral elections held in the last decade) on
>> a measure of funding for the pension plans offered by that municipality.
>> However, I am concerned about the possible endogeneity of the independent
>> variable and I therefore use demographic characteristics (percent of the
>> population that is self-employed and percent of the population that has a
>> disability) as instruments for the independent variable. As it turns out,
>> Democratic vote share goes up when the  percent of the population that is self-
>> employed goes down or when the percent of the population that has a disability
>> goes up.
>>
>> The Stata command I use is:
>>
>> xi: xtivreg2 wmeanactfundratio_emplgrp2 (average_share_dems_votes7 =
>> pctslfemplydownbiznotincp pctpop16to64wdisability) i.currentdecade, fe
>> gmm2s first cluster(county)
>>
>> where wmeanactfundratio_emplgrp2 = Mean funding ratio of pension plan
>> offered by a municipality for a particular employee group (with the mean being
>> taken over a decade);
>> average_share_dems_votes7 = Average Democratic vote share for mayoral
>> races held in the last decade; pctslfemployedownbiznotincp = Percent of the
>> population that is self-employed; pctpop16to64wdisability = Percent of the
>> population between 16 to 64 that has a disability; i.currentdecade is a set of
>> dummy variables for the decade; and finally, county - These 1,000
>> municipalities can belong to one of ~ 65 counties. Clustering standard errors at
>> the county level is the most conservative and so I go with that.
>>
>>
>> Here is the output:
>>
>> Warning - singleton groups detected.  117 observation(s) not used.
>> FIXED EFFECTS ESTIMATION
>>
>> ------------------------
>>
>> Number of groups =      1135               Obs per group: min =         2
>>
>>                                                             avg =       4.6
>>
>>                                                             max =         9
>>
>>  First-stage regressions
>>
>> -----------------------
>>
>>  First-stage regression of average_share_dems_votes7:
>>
>>  FIXED EFFECTS ESTIMATION
>>
>> ------------------------
>>
>> Number of groups =      1135              Obs per group: min =         2
>>
>>                                                            avg =       4.6
>>
>>                                                            max =         9
>>
>>  OLS estimation
>>
>> --------------
>>
>>  Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
>>
>> Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on county
>>
>>  Number of clusters (county) = 65                      Number of obs =     5253
>>
>>
>>     F(  4,    64) =     8.95
>>
>>
>>     Prob > F      =   0.0000
>>
>> Total (centered) SS     =  9.605866911             Centered R2   =   0.2599
>> Total (uncentered) SS   =  9.605866911           Uncentered R2 =   0.2599
>> Residual SS             =  7.109186342                 Root MSE      =   .04157
>>
>>  ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
>>
>>              |               Robust
>>
>> average_s~s7 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      t    P>|t|     [95% Conf. Interval]
>>
>> -------------+----------------------------------------------------------
>> -------------+------
>>
>> _Icurre~1990 |   .0355722   .0077302     4.60   0.000     .0201294     .051015
>>
>> _Icurre~2000 |   .0432069   .0122536     3.53   0.001     .0187274    .0676864
>>
>> pctslfempl~p |  -.0001385   .0007944    -0.17   0.862    -.0017255    .0014485
>>
>> pctpop16to~y |   .0040835   .0013014     3.14   0.003     .0014837    .0066832
>>
>> ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
>>
>> Included instruments: _Icurrentde_1990 _Icurrentde_2000
>>
>> pctslfemplydownbiznotincp pctpop16to64wdisability
>>
>> ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
>> Partial R-squared of excluded instruments:   0.0327
>> Test of excluded instruments:
>> F(  2,    64) =     5.50
>> Prob > F      =   0.0062
>>
>> Summary results for first-stage regressions
>> -------------------------------------------
>>
>> Variable    | Shea Partial R2 |   Partial R2    |  F(  2,    64)    P-value
>>
>> average_shar|     0.0327      |     0.0327      |        5.50       0.0062
>>
>> NB: first-stage F-stat cluster-robust
>>
>> Underidentification tests
>>
>> Ho: matrix of reduced form coefficients has rank=K1-1 (underidentified)
>>
>> Ha: matrix has rank=K1 (identified)
>>
>> Kleibergen-Paap rk LM statistic             Chi-sq(2)=.        P-val=     .
>>
>> Kleibergen-Paap rk Wald statistic          Chi-sq(2)=.        P-val=     .
>>
>>  Weak identification test
>>
>> Ho: equation is weakly identified
>>
>> Kleibergen-Paap Wald rk F statistic                    .
>>
>> See main output for Cragg-Donald weak id test critical values
>>
>>  Weak-instrument-robust inference
>>
>> Tests of joint significance of endogenous regressors B1 in main equation
>>
>> Ho: B1=0 and overidentifying restrictions are valid
>>
>> Anderson-Rubin Wald test     F(2,64)=  0.92      P-val=0.4038
>>
>> Anderson-Rubin Wald test     Chi-sq(2)=1.87     P-val=0.3927
>>
>> Stock-Wright LM S statistic  Chi-sq(2)=1.87       P-val=0.3927
>>
>> NB: Underidentification, weak identification and weak-identification-robust test
>> statistics cluster-robust
>>
>> Number of clusters                      N_clust  =         65
>>
>> Number of observations              N           =       5253
>>
>> Number of regressors                 K           =          3
>>
>> Number of instruments                L           =          4
>>
>> Number of excluded instruments  L1        =          2
>>
>>  2-Step GMM estimation
>>
>> ---------------------
>>
>>  Estimates efficient for arbitrary heteroskedasticity and clustering on county
>>
>> Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on county
>>
>>  Number of clusters (county) = 65   Number of obs =     5253
>>
>>                                                        F(  3,    64) =    14.86
>>
>>                                                        Prob > F      =   0.0000
>>
>> Total (centered) SS     =  29430177.08            Centered R2   =   0.0334
>>
>> Total (uncentered) SS   =  29430177.08          Uncentered R2 =   0.0334
>>
>> Residual SS             =  28447688.07                Root MSE      =    83.12
>>
>>  ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
>>
>>              |               Robust
>>
>> wmeanactfu~2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
>>
>> -------------+----------------------------------------------------------
>> -------------+------
>>
>> average_s~s7 |   209.2071   159.7796     1.31   0.190    -103.9552    522.3693
>>
>> _Icurre~1990 |  -30.10698   9.738608    -3.09   0.002    -49.19431   -11.01966
>>
>> _Icurre~2000 |   -47.3599   11.90716    -3.98   0.000     -70.6975    -24.0223
>>
>> ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
>>
>> Underidentification test (Kleibergen-Paap rk LM statistic):                  .
>>
>>                                                    Chi-sq(2) P-val =         .
>>
>> ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
>>
>> Weak identification test (Kleibergen-Paap rk Wald F statistic):              .
>>
>> Stock-Yogo weak ID test critical values: 10% maximal IV size             19.93
>>
>>                                          15% maximal IV size             11.59
>>
>>                                          20% maximal IV size              8.75
>>
>>                                          25% maximal IV size              7.25
>>
>> Source: Stock-Yogo (2005).  Reproduced by permission.
>>
>> NB: Critical values are for Cragg-Donald F statistic and i.i.d. errors.
>>
>> ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
>>
>> Hansen J statistic (overidentification test of all instruments):         0.017
>>
>>
>> Chi-sq(1) P-val =    0.8959
>>
>> ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
>>
>> Instrumented:         average_share_dems_votes7
>>
>> Included instruments: _Icurrentde_1990 _Icurrentde_2000
>>
>> Excluded instruments: pctslfemplydownbiznotincp pctpop16to64wdisability
>>
>> ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
>>
>> Please let me know if you need any further details. Thanks for any and all
>> suggestions,
>>
>> Sutirtha Bagchi
>>
>> *
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>
>
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-- 
PhD Candidate, Business Economics,
Stephen M. Ross School of Business,
University of Michigan, Ann Arbor.
http://sitemaker.umich.edu/sbagchi/home
*
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