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st: Confusion about XTPMG
From
john ebireri <[email protected]>
To
"[email protected]" <[email protected]>
Subject
st: Confusion about XTPMG
Date
Wed, 26 Jun 2013 11:26:48 -0700 (PDT)
Hello,
I am having a problem with where i should include the lag structure when using -xtpmg-. I am using Stata 12.1 for windows.
I noticed in some published articles that the Error Correction Model produces short run coefficients with lag structures and the the long run cointegrating vector producing long-run coefficients without lags.
In my case, what i have explained above is opposite: short-run coefficients without lags and long-run coefficients with lags. It might be wrong specification on my part, but ill provide a sample of the command i use and the regression output i receive. I have 8 variables but ill use just 3 to show the problem i encounter:
xtpmg d.mvagdp d.bcon d.bnkdev if year >=1995, lr(l.mvagdp l.bcon bnkdev ) ec(ec) replace pmg technique(dfp)
Iteration 0: log likelihood = -985.04495
Iteration 1: log likelihood = -984.5807 (backed up)
Iteration 2: log likelihood = -984.579 (backed up)
Iteration 3: log likelihood = -984.51101
Iteration 4: log likelihood = -984.50197
Iteration 5: log likelihood = -984.50194
Pooled Mean Group Regression
(Estimate results saved as pmg)
Panel Variable (i): id Number of obs = 372
Time Variable (t): year Number of groups = 31
Obs per group: min = 12
avg = 12.0
max = 12
Log Likelihood = -984.5019
D.mvagdp Coef. Std. Err. z P>z [95% Conf. Interval]
ec
bcon
L1. .0184939 .0195238 0.95 0.344 -.0197719 .0567598
bnkdev .0503223 .0282728 1.78 0.075 -.0050914 .105736
SR
ec -.8136236 .0513977 -15.83 0.000 -.9143612 -.7128859
bcon
D1. .0107836 .1003137 0.11 0.914 -.1858276 .2073949
bnkdev
D1. 1.379236 1.134416 1.22 0.224 -.8441793 3.60265
_cons . 9586204 .612323 1.57 0.117 -.2415107 2.158752
How do i get the lags to be in the ARDL model rather than the long run cointegrating vector.
Thanks.
John.
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