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st: Logistic regression with a log transformed variable How to determine economic significance
From
Robert Teunissen <[email protected]>
To
[email protected]
Subject
st: Logistic regression with a log transformed variable How to determine economic significance
Date
Sun, 29 Jul 2012 18:21:20 +0200
Hi all,
I am using a logit regression model 1succes 0failure with six
continuous independent variables and two log transformed size
variables, total assets and total deposits.
My question is how to interpret the results and measure the economic
impact, magnitude, size? The normal step in interpretation I take is
as follows, I firstly run a stata test on summary statistics (sum),
then a logistic regression (logit) and than the marginal effects for
the economic significance (mfx).
These results can be explained by sentences as: a one standard
deviation increase in X (IV) increases the probability of succes by X
percent. The results are derived by multiplying the dy/dx of the
marginal effects by the Standard deviation to get this percentage
economic impact.
So far so good, but how do I interpret the results with the two
ln(size) variables? And also, how to report them? To clarify my
problem I will show you a part of the results:
Summary statistics
ln total assets mean-1.469624 stdD2.796627
Logistic results
ln total assets coeff-0.2381355 stERR0.133577 Z-1.78 PZ0.075
Logistic results with odds ratio
ln total assets oddsR0.7880959 stERR0.105275 Z-1.78 PZ0.075
Marginal effects
ln total assets dydx-0.2381355 stERR0.0165 Z-1.78 PZ0.075
X-0.7886
In a normal situation with independent variables I would multiply
ln(total assets) of the marginal effects -0.2381355 by the standard
deviation of the summary statistics 2.796627 which results in an
economic impact, after a one standard deviation increase, of -8.22
percent.
Although this holds for the other non log variables, this does not
sound correct for this ln variable. But how do I interpret the
economic significance than with these ln variables? And how do I
present them in text? like, a one standard deviation increase,
increases the probability. Or something like that?
I look very much forward to tour responses and thanks in advance! best regards,
Peter Teunissen
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