st: cmp and condition numbers

["Bromiley, Philip" <bromiley@uci.edu>]

I'm trying to estimate a simultaneous system with three continuous and one discrete variable using cmp.  I have been unable to get it to estimate properly - lots of not concave and backed up messages and then it crashes saying it has hit a discontinuous or flat region.

Cmp warns me that I have an ill-conditioned regressor matrix and reports high condition numbers for each of the equations (40 to 1000).  However, when I run the equation with regress, I don't get high VIF's, and get a much lower condition number. 

Would someone know the reason for such a discrepancy?  Any suggestions would be welcome.

Phil


Here is a simple example to illustrate the condition number difference.    

webuse laborsup, clear

cmp setup
replace fem_inc = fem_inc - 10
 cmp (kids = fem_inc male_educ)     (fem_work = male_educ),        ind($cmp_cont $cmp_cont)    
*to increase the correlation among the x's, I add a random number to all of them
g x1=rnormal() * 100
g fem_inc1=fem_inc + x1
g male_educ1=male_educ + x1
g fem_work1=fem_work + x1

 cmp (kids = fem_inc1 male_educ1)      (fem_work1 = male_educ1),        ind($cmp_cont $cmp_cont) 
	
reg kids  fem_inc1 male_educ1
estat vif
cndnmb3  fem_inc1 male_educ1

reg kids  fem_inc male_educ
estat vif
cndnmb3   fem_inc male_educ



Philip Bromiley
Dean's Professor of Strategic Management
Merage School of Business
University of California, Irvine
Irvine, CA  92697-3125
(949) 824-6657


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