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Re: st: RE: Econometrics question
From
Christopher Hajzler <[email protected]>
To
[email protected]
Subject
Re: st: RE: Econometrics question
Date
Tue, 30 Mar 2010 08:02:08 +1300
In terms of the actual value of the estimated coefficient,my sense is
that your intuition is correct in the case of a univariate regression.
With more than one independent variable, we need to take into account
potential multicolinearity, and any potential impact changes in the
average of these variables across subperiods have on the estimates.
Try running the regressions again having dropped the other variables
and see what you get.
Cheers,
Chris
On Tue, Mar 30, 2010 at 7:50 AM, Martin Weiss <[email protected]> wrote:
>
> <>
>
> The significance also depends on the number of observations in the
> estimation sample, so the "weighted average" need not carry over to the
> standard error estimation:
>
> ***
> sysuse auto, clear
> reg price weight length
> est store full
> reg price weight length in 1/`=_N/2'
> est store firsthalf
> reg price weight length in `=_N/2+1'/l
> est store secondhalf
> estimates table full firsthalf secondhalf, se style(oneline)
> ***
>
>
> HTH
> Martin
>
>
> -----Original Message-----
> From: [email protected]
> [mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of kokootchke
> Sent: Montag, 29. März 2010 20:39
> To: statalist
> Subject: st: Econometrics question
>
> Dear Stata users,
>
> I have a basic econometric question and I'm hoping you can help me out. I am
> running a regression of bond spreads on various variables denoting domestic
> economic conditions, and country fixed effects; I'm clustering my standard
> errors by quarter, e.g.
>
> xi: regress LogSpread GDPgrowth DebtToGDP i.country, cluster(time)
>
> I have quarterly data for 40 different countries, although it's a very
> unbalanced panel because the spread of the bond is for new bond issues and a
> lot of countries don't issue new bonds every quarter. So, the data would
> look something like this:
>
> Country Time Spread GDPgrowth
> Argentina 1991q1 400 3.0
> Argentina 1994q4 450 2.5
> Argentina 2001q3 800 0.7
> Brazil 1993q2 ...
> Brazil 1993q4 ...
> Brazil 1994q1 ...
> Colombia ...
> ...
>
> When I run a simple regression like the one above for the full sample, I
> obtain a coefficient for GDPgrowth of -0.073***
>
> Then if I run this same regression for two separate subsamples for the years
> 1991-1997 and 1998-2006, my coefficients for GDPgrowth are -0.056 and 0.009,
> both insignificant.
>
> In my experience, the full sample coefficient would in general be some sort
> of weighted average of the two coefficients obtained from subsample
> regressions. So, I don't understand why this is not the case here...
>
> The number of observations in the two subsamples add up to the number of
> observations in the full sample estimations.
>
> Any ideas?
>
> Thanks!
> Adrian
>
>
>
>
>
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