RE: st: RE: Interpretation of quadratic terms

["Lachenbruch, Peter" <Peter.Lachenbruch@oregonstate.edu>]

When you think about it, the residual will be 1-predicted or 0-predicted.  Thus, they will plot as two parallel straight lines.

Nick and I (mostly Nick)  wrote a possible solution to this by using binned plots.  I've been meaning to write it up for the SSC (and maybe even SJ).  It's based on work by Andrew Gelman reported in his book with Jennifer Hill.

Tony

Peter A. Lachenbruch
Department of Public Health
Oregon State University
Corvallis, OR 97330
Phone: 541-737-3832
FAX: 541-737-4001


-----Original Message-----
From: owner-statalist@hsphsun2.harvard.edu [mailto:owner-statalist@hsphsun2.harvard.edu] On Behalf Of Rosie Chen
Sent: Monday, March 08, 2010 1:27 PM
To: statalist@hsphsun2.harvard.edu
Subject: Re: st: RE: Interpretation of quadratic terms

Nick, thank you for the guidance. The model I am estimating is a logistic regression. What I did to check the plot was to save the residual of the model, and then plotted the standardized residual against the predictor. I didn't really found a curve-linear relationship. 

Is there anything wrong with the way I plot the residual? If not, then why the inclusion of a quadratic term actually improves the model fitting when I made a model comparison using the -2log-likelihood? In addition, the nonsignificant predictor in the original form turned to be significant after using the quadratic term? Your further advice would be appreciated.

Rosie








----- Original Message ----
From: Nick Cox <n.j.cox@durham.ac.uk>
To: statalist@hsphsun2.harvard.edu
Sent: Mon, March 8, 2010 1:43:29 PM
Subject: st: RE: Interpretation of quadratic terms

I don't know what kind of guidance you need, but the first step is
surely to plot this curve and think about its substantive interpretation
within the entire range of the data. That should include bringing in
whatever science is behind this analysis. 

Nick 
n.j.cox@durham.ac.uk 

Rosie Chen
    I have a question regarding how to interpret quadratic terms in
regression, and would appreciate your help very much. 

    Because the non-linear nature of the relationship between X and Y; I
need to include quadratic terms in the model. To avoid multicollinearity
problem with the original variable and its quadratic term, I centered
the variable first (X) and then created the square term (Xsq). The model
with the quadratic term (Xsq) was proved to be significantly better.
Suppose the output is like the following (both coefficients are
significant), how to interpret the results? The two signs are opposite.
Could anyone provide some insight? Thank you very much in advance!
--Rosie

y= a + 1.3*X - 0.2*Xsq + e

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