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Re: st: instrumental variables, reg3, simultaneous equation model, var
From
Michael McCulloch <[email protected]>
To
[email protected]
Subject
Re: st: instrumental variables, reg3, simultaneous equation model, var
Date
Wed, 24 Feb 2010 09:26:06 -0800
Hello, it would be helpful if your question were more informative, for
example on your question, is the procedure correct and appropriate for
what type of data? Perhaps you could
consult the Statalist FAQ, particularly sections 3.2 ("Write clear
questions") and 4 ("What to do if you do not get an answer"), and then
re-submit a more informative question:
http://www.stata.com/support/faqs/res/statalist.html#question
Michael
On Feb 24, 2010, at 9:19 AM, Agrar Fagma wrote:
Dear all:
I didn't get an answer yet but a possible solution by myself:
reg3 (F R lagged_F lagger_r) (R F lagged_F lagger_r),inst(lagged_F
lagger_r z1 z2 z3 z4)
works. But my question remains: Is this procedure correct and
appropriate?
Regards
A.Dedder
-------- Original-Nachricht --------
Datum: Wed, 24 Feb 2010 16:53:15 +0100
Von: [email protected]
An: [email protected]
Betreff: st: instrumental variables, reg3, simultaneous equation
model, var
Dear all:
The following text my appear long, but it is very precise (and
probably
easy stuff).
I estimated the following VAR(2):
F_{t} = F_{t-1} + F_{t-2} +...+R_{t-1} + R_{t-2} +...+u_{t}
R_{t} = F_{t-1} + F_{t-2} +...+R_{t-1} + R_{t-2} +...+u_{t}
Now I would like to insert contemporaneous values on the right -
hand -
side of the VAR which would become a structural VAR. For
identification and
because of endogeneity, I would need 1 restriction, ie. I could
either
estimate
F_{t} = R_{t} + F_{t-1} + F_{t-2} +...+R_{t-1} + R_{t-2} +...+u_{t}
R_{t} = F_{t-1} + F_{t-2} +...+R_{t-1} + R_{t-2} +...+u_{t}
or
F_{t} = F_{t-1} + F_{t-2} +...+R_{t-1} + R_{t-2} +...+u_{t}
R_{t} = F_{t} + F_{t-1} + F_{t-2} +...+R_{t-1} + R_{t-2} +...+u_{t}
with a normal Choleski-Decomposition.
As I have a bigger VAR as in this example, I cannot enter that many
restrictions (long-run restrictions are neither possible because I
have no
theory!).
Now comes my point and problem:
I wonder whether I could estimate
F_{t} = R_{t} + F_{t-1} + F_{t-2} +...+R_{t-1} + R_{t-2} +...+u_{t}
R_{t} = F_{t} + F_{t-1} + F_{t-2} +...+R_{t-1} + R_{t-2} +...+u_{t}
and fight the obvious endogeneity by 3SLS or the STATA command
reg3 ??
I have 4 instruments (which I do not want to appear on the right
hand side
of the equations if possible as I would not have the original VAR any
more) with which I would like to "replace" the contemporaneous
right hand side
variables R_{t} and F_{t}. Would this work? I really searched a
long time
but could not find any information regarding 3SLS (or GMM) and
estimation of
a structural VAR.
If I have to include my instruments on the right hand side of the VAR
(which would become a simultanous equation model), could I still
use the 3SLS
command..? Would GMM be better? Or is there any error in my model/
do I not
understand the methodology of instrumental variables right?
I tried it without lagged variables and it worked fine (the z's are
my
instruments):
reg3 (F R) (R F), inst(z1 z2 z3 z4)
But:
reg3 (F R = L.F L.R) (R F = L.F L.R), inst(z1 z2 z3 z4)
does not work!
STATA says: "Covariance matrix of errors is singular"
Where is my mistake?? Is this due to poor instruments? Or is the
model not
testable at all??
Of course, I read the STATA11 manual beforehand but there's nothing
about
a simultaneous equation model with lags..
Kind regards
Agther F. Dedder
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Best wishes,
Michael McCulloch
Pine Street Foundation
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San Anselmo, CA 94960-2674
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fax: 206-338-2391
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