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st: strange? result: 95%CI and lincom


From   n p <[email protected]>
To   [email protected]
Subject   st: strange? result: 95%CI and lincom
Date   Thu, 3 Jun 2004 01:30:29 -0700 (PDT)

Dear statalisters,
consider the following output
.  xi:poisson count i.A i.B i.C i.A*i.C   ,cluster(id)



Poisson regression                               
Number of obs   =         32
                                                  Wald
chi2(2)    =          .
Log pseudo-likelihood = -105.04905                Prob
> chi2     =          .

                               (standard errors
adjusted for clustering on id)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
       count |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z| 
   [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
       _IA_1 |   1.572489   .0286677    54.85   0.000 
   1.516302    1.628677
       _IB_1 |   .0204089   .0449014     0.45   0.649 
  -.0675963     .108414
       _IC_1 |   1.254163   .0339171    36.98   0.000 
   1.187686    1.320639
   _IAXC_1_1 |  -1.199721    .014818   -80.96   0.000 
  -1.228763   -1.170678
       _cons |   3.228422   .0355479    90.82   0.000 
   3.158749    3.298095
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. lincom _IA_1

 ( 1)  [count]_IA_1 = 0

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
       count |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z| 
   [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         (1) |   1.572489   .0286677    54.85   0.000 
   1.516302    1.628677
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. lincom _IA_1+_IC_1+ _IAXC_1_1

 ( 1)  [count]_IA_1 + [count]_IC_1 + [count]_IAXC_1_1
= 0

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
       count |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z| 
   [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         (1) |   1.626931   .0482076    33.75   0.000 
   1.532446    1.721416
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. lincom _IC_1+ _IAXC_1_1

 ( 1)  [count]_IC_1 + [count]_IAXC_1_1 = 0

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
       count |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z| 
   [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         (1) |   .0544419   .0226218     2.41   0.016 
    .010104    .0987798
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

A, B, C are binary covariates. As you see the upper
limit of the 95%CI in the first "lincom" is greater
than the beta estimate in the second "lincom" and the
lower limit of the 95% CI in the  second "lincom" is
lower than the beta estimate in the first "lincom".
Given this overlap I was expecting a non-significant
(at the 5% level) difference between the first two
estimates. However the third "lincom" gives a p=0.016
for the difference of the first two estimates. Is
there something wrong with this and if not how can one
justify the overlaping in the CIs when the difference
is significant. Maybe I am missing something obvious
but I can't find a good explanation.

Thanks in advance for any comments

Nikos Pantazis
Biostatistician


	
		
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