Many thanks Daniel...incidentally I had the same thinking but just to be
sure I came to the list and as always, its been helpful (I guess its about
time I met gllamm so off to work)
Ronnie
-----Original Message-----
From: [email protected]
[mailto:[email protected]]On Behalf Of Daniel Mueller
Sent: 24. juli 2003 08:50
To: [email protected]
Subject: st: RE: Multinomial logit
> From: Ronnie Babigumira
> Sent: Wednesday, July 23, 2003 11:22 PM
>
> Hi, (using stata8, win2K). I have a household data set and
> would like to explain the choice of coping strategies.
>
> 3 main strategies are used by households however, some
> households choose more than one strategy. After looking at
> the data, I have 6 "strategies". 3 are pure (if a household
> pursues either 1, 2 or 3 exclusively) and 3 are mixed
> strategies (combinations of the pure ones to give new
> strategies 4, 5 and 6). The data would look something like this
>
> hhid strategy
> 1 2
> 2 3
> 3 1
> 4 5
> 5 4
> 6 1
> 7 6
>
> I have been thinking of using a multinomial logit. My
> question is, is the fact that strategy 2 is nested in 6
> (which is a combination of 2 and 3) and problem.
It is indeed a problem as MNL assumes the disturbances to be independently
distributed. The calculated probabilities would
be unaffected if you add another category (the classic example is the
redbus/blue bus paradoxon -- Maddala (1983):
Limited-dependent and qualitative variables in econometrics. Cambridge
University Press). This phenomenon is called the
'independence of irrelevant alternatives' (IIA).
In your example strategy 2 and 6 would have a certain relationship. The
relative probability of observing strategy 2 would
probably decrease if you add strategy 6 to the set of alternatives. So the
assumption of IIA would be violated leading to
inefficient (however, according to Greene, not inconsistent) estimates. To
test for IIA you could use e.g. -mlogtest-. A
nested logit is probably more appropriate in your case. Other alternatives
to get around could be multilevel modelling
(-gllamm-).
HTH,
Daniel
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